Japan vs Spain: closing match of the round
Japan national team was one of the worst in the 2019 World Cup in China. In the Group E team had three defeats and ended the tournament behind Americans, Czechs and Turks. In the Classification Round Team Nippon was beaten by New Zealand and Montenegro.
Japan qualified for the Olympic Games as the host nation. During the preparation for the tournament hosts won three warm-up friendlies and lost one. There are two NBA players in the underdog's roster.
Spain national team is a current world champion. Coach of the best team in the world is Sergio Scariolo and he is counting on his experienced, proven players. Italian coach called up Gasol brothers, Sergio Llull, Sergio Rodriguez, Rudy Fernandez and Ricky Rubio.
Furia Roja is looking no worse than American Dream Team on paper. But the youngest player of the Spanish team is currently 31 years old. In July, on the warm-up friendlies visitors beat Iran and France two times and then lost to USA.
In four most recent matches of Japan total was not higher than 157 points
In five most recent matches Spain never scored less than 82 points
Spain won most recent head-to-head match with a 104:55 score
Without a doubt, Spanishplayers will beat Japan even with their eyes closed. They will have to play against Argentina and Slovenia in the next games, so they are unlikely to beat their opponent by more than 20 points in the first game. Plus favourite has an aging team and an underdog will have a home advantage.
Our prediction - Japan to win with a handicap of (+19,5) points
Prediction: Handicap (+19,5) for Japan
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We are expecting to see a slow-paced basketball in the closing match of the round. Japanese team won't have many chances to attack the opponent's rim. Spaniards are playing well on defense, Hosts are unlikely to beat the offered total.
Our second prediction - individual total of Japan under 66,5